Archive | April 2016

Cruz Expected to Announce Carly Fiorina as Vice President

All indications are that Senator Ted Cruz will announce businesswoman and former candidate Carly Fiorina as his running mate.

If it’s true, it’s a little strange for a non-front runner to name a VP. Cruz is looking to make waves and get some good coverage from this. Here are some good articles to checkout on Carly:

Pro’s and Con’s of Carly

The Pros And Cons Of Ted Cruz Naming Carly Fiorina As His Running Mate

Carly Fiorina’s Website

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Ted Cruz VP Rankings- April 27

With Cruz’s “major” announcement coming today, speculation is running wild that the Texas Senator might actually be naming a VP.

Cruz needs a hail Mary right now and this is about as close to that as it gets.

Ted Cruz will be looking for someone who will do 2 things for him. First, he wants someone who is going to create excitement. Cruz needs to change the narrative of this race. He wants to pick someone that will fill the news cycle with nothing but good VP coverage and give people in the remaining states someone to get excited over.

Second, he wants someone everyone in the party will want to rally around. The GOP is starting to come to grips with Trump because he seems inevitable, but they don’t like it. If he can pick someone who inspires hope within the party, it could go a long way in keeping hope alive.

Here’s our latest list:

At the Top:

  • Nikki Haley- This week I moved the South Carolina Governor to the top of the list. She would generate a lot of excitement and coverage. She’s also the most proven which would play very well with party establishment.
  • Scott Walker– If Gov. Walker wasn’t on the radar before, he is now. He delivered a huge win for Cruz in Wisconsin. Walker’s organization is a force to be reckoned with. He’s a proven conservative and effective leader. He wouldn’t generate as much excitement as a new face would, but he’s a solid and safe pick.
  • Carly Fiorina– She and Ted have been very chummy since her endorsement. Carly could fill the other side of the ticket with an outsider, a theme Cruz is desperately trying to make. She’s also been a relentless attack dog focused on Clinton. She’s starting to become old news, but still a good pick.
  • Susana Martinez– She’s a lower profile Nikki Haley. She’s got broad support from the party and she’s a popular Hispanic swing-state governor. She does take a Jeb-like approach to common core though; if you can get over that, she’s solid.
  • Marco Rubio– Rubio adds a lot as the VP. He has backers on both sides of the party and he’s still popular with the voters of Florida. Rubio is out of a job soon, despite his comments, he’d be more than happy to serve as Cruz’s VP.

In Consideration:

  • Tim Scott- The South Carolina Senator is a strong conservative. He would generate excitement and seems to have the acceptance of the party.
  • Brian Sandoval– Sandoval is the male version of Susana Martinez. He’s widely respected on both sides of the aisle. He does have a moderate streak in him. Hardcore conservatives might not be excited about this pick, but you better believe the establishment and maybe even some Democrats will.
  • John Kasich– Kasich’s delegates will be in high demand at the convention and Cruz would love to get his hands on them. Kasich is the popular Governor of Ohio. I’ll stop there.

Dark Horses:

  • Condi Rice
  • John Thune
  • Mia Love
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Bill Haslam

Cruz Campaign Major Announcement Today

Senator Ted Cruz’s campaign announced that he will have a major announcement today at 4pm EST.

There’s a lot of speculation as to what the announcement will be. This announcement comes on the heels of the campaign confirming that they are vetting Carly Fiorina and others for the VP spot.

We’ve said it here before Cruz Needs to Name a VP Now. It would be a gutsy move to name a VP, but at this point he needs a big move to get people excited.

Since the announcement is happening in Indiana, some are guessing a major endorsement is coming. Gov. Mike Pence is popular in Indiana and would be a huge get. However, Gov. Pence said he won’t be at Cruz’s event.

We’ll have to wait and see. But if Cruz does happen to announce a VP today and it is Carly, I fully expect to be a Fox News contributor in a few days.

The Most Disappointing Candidates of 2016

The 2016 GOP presidential nomination race has been anything but normal. The insertion of Donald Trump into this contest has totally flipped conventional wisdom. I really believe candidates that would have flourished in 2008 or 2012, stood no chance this time around. There were plenty of worthy candidates who fell into the clutches of the Trump machine and were forced to concede defeat.

Let’s take a look at the most disappointing GOP candidates of the 2016 cycle.

  1. Marco Rubio– Rubio had so much promise. He was the young and energetic future of the party. He was going to lead millions of Hispanics into the Republican’s fold and lock up Florida for the foreseeable future. Never had we seen someone get so much attention and praise for a third place Iowa finish before. At the very next debate after Iowa, Rubio suffered a gaffe that not only killed all his momentum, but ultimately became a moment he would never come back from.
  2. Jeb Bush– Have you ever wondered how Bush would have performed if every ounce of energy he spent campaigning wasn’t trying to control the damage Trump caused to him? I don’t know that anyone suffered more from The Donald more than this guy did.
  3. Scott Walker– Scott Walker had just survived an election, a recall, and a reelection all in the course of 4 years. The kicker is he did this in a traditionally blue state. He took on labor unions and won. This guy was the standard bearer for conservatism. I really believe if it weren’t for Trump, Walker would have been the nominee.
  4. Rand Paul– Paul was leading the polls for quite a while after the 2012 election. Paul was supposed to do what his father couldn’t. He was going to expand the party and build a bridge to libertarians and civil liberty liberals. Unfortunately for Rand, Trump and Bernie also caught the attention of his father’s supporters.
  5. Chris Christie– Christie was right there with Paul leading the pack really early on in the process. Christie’s number’s in NJ sank. It became clear that Christie’s stomping ground, the northeast, was shifting to Trump and Christie saw the writing on the wall.
  6. Ben Carson– Carson over performed in terms of the campaign. Carson disappointed many when he sold his soul and endorsed Donald Trump.

The rest of the candidates who dropped out never really had lofty expectations.

Confirmed: Cruz Vetting Fiorina for Vice President

Ted Cruz’s campaign confirmed this week that they are indeed running former candidate Carly Fiorina for the VP spot. We covered this last month: Is Carly Fiorina Going to be Cruz’s VP? Click on the link to read the story.

Let’s take a quick look at the pros and cons of this move.

Pros

  • Carly is an outsider. Cruz has been trying to capture that persona in this campaign. She would fit that mold and help him avoid the stench of being associated with Washington or the establishment.
  • The VP is supposed to be the attack dog so the presidential candidates don’t have to appear harsh. Carly focused her campaign on drawing a clear contrast between Hillary Clinton and herself. She never held back punches.
  • Carly would help combat the historical advantage that Clinton has with the possibility of being the first woman elected to the White House.
  • She is an absolute fighter. She took on breast cancer and Donald Trump head on. Cruz doesn’t have to worry if she is up for the challenge.

Cons

  • The VP usually helps to pad or fill holes on the resume of the presidential candidate. Other than her business experience, there isn’t much political experience to help Cruz out.
  • Carly doesn’t bring anything electorally to the table. California is her home state, Cruz has a 0% chance to win the state with or without her.
  • Her time as CEO of HP, her claim to fame, is going to be called into question constantly by the media. It’s not going to go away like it would if she were a Democrat.
  • The excitement factor has waned somewhat since she endorsed Cruz a while ago. Usually the campaign likes to get a few days of nonstop coverage on the speculation of who the VP is going to be. McCain’s campaign nailed this aspect when they chose Palin. The media had no clue what was going on until about an hour before the announcement and covered the speculation continually.

 

Cruz & Kasich Strike A Deal

Reports are coming out that Senator Cruz and Governor Kasich have joined forces to stop GOP front runner Donald Trump. The details seem a little unclear, but it looks like they will each focus on separate states in hopes of keeping Trump from amassing the 1,237 needed delegates before the convention.

This comes on the heels of a poll in Pennsylvania that shows Trump at 47% and Cruz and Kasich splitting the rest of the votes effectively handing Trump the big win. Cruz and Kasich came to the conclusion that all of America came to 5 months ago, in order to beat Mr. Trump you need to stop splitting the vote.

According to reports, Cruz will focus on Indiana and Kasich will head to on Oregon and New Mexico.

This isn’t unprecedented but it does seem a little desperate at this point. This plan seems a little underwhelming, to be truly effective, they should have done this a long time ago.

Does Ted Cruz Still Have A Chance?

Before Tuesday, Cruz was having a really good April. Cruz was racking up delegates from a number of states. Then New York happened. To be fair, everyone expected Trump to dominate in his home state, but no one expected Cruz to walk away with no delegates at all. So is it over, is Trump inevitable?

On paper, not that much changed since last week. We all penciled in most of these NY delegates to Trump before the votes were even cast. The problem for Cruz is the momentum that Trump has stolen. Trump received a lot of positive coverage after the win. News sites used words like inevitable, presidential, and general election.

Cruz isn’t done yet though. His goal of reaching 1,237 delegates before the convention is on life support and ready to have the plug pulled. However, his secondary goal of keeping Trump from receiving 1,237 delegates is still in play.

Here’s the current situation:

Trump 846, Cruz 554

There are about 647 still left to be awarded. Trump needs 391 of those delegates to win the nomination before the convention, or about 60%. That may not be as easy as it sounds. While Trump is racking up the victories, Cruz continues to rack up the first and second ballot delegates. If Trump ends up short of the needed delegates, it will be solely because of Ted Cruz’s ability to win the delegate game.

So here’s what needs to happen for Cruz to have a chance:

  • Continue to win the delegate game. Work the conventions and secure as many first and second ballot delegates as possible. Everyone of these is going to count.
  • Make it easier on himself and win some states. There are plenty of winnable states still out there for Cruz to win. If he can pick up a few toss ups or Trump-leaning states too, it wouldn’t hurt
  • Keep Pennsylvania and California close. There are a lot of delegates in these two states. He needs to keep Trump from winning too many of these.

Here’s some things to watch out for this Tuesday:

  • Everyone will make a big deal about PA. Trump is expected to win pretty big here. But like other states, Cruz could end up with more delegates even if he loses the vote. So remember when you watch the results, interpret them with a grain of salt.
  • The other states voting Tuesday (CT, DE, MD, & RI) are all geographically and politically working in Trump’s favor. There isn’t a lot of polling for these states, but don’t expect anything other than big Trump wins in these states.