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Donald Trump’s Latest VP Watch

Who are the latest names to be mentioned in Trump’s 2016 Veepstakes?

The same 5-6 names seem to appear on everyone’s list (in alphabetical order):

  • Chris Christie
  • Bob Corker
  • Joni Ernst
  • Mary Fallin
  • Newt Gingrich
  • Jeff Sessions

Here’s what we know so far and the link to read about it:

Trump and his campaign have it narrowed down to a small list of people.

Senator Sessions is definitely being strongly considered.

The Washington Post thinks it’s going to be one of these five people.

The Hill has it down to a top ten.

And Larry Sabato has a very long list of potential picks.

 

 

 

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Trump Hints at Possible VP

Yesterday Donald Trump gave us a hint at who he is considering for Vice President. Here’s what he tweeted:

Trump, the presumptive GOP nominee, was obviously thinking about someone in particular when he tweeted this. Donald, who never likes to be played, wanted to make sure we all knew that someone who must be overtly denying interest, is not even in contention for the #2 spot. My guess is either Marco Rubio or Nikki Haley.

Trump gives more insights in this AP interview.

Here are the hints he’s given so far:

  1. It’s not someone who is going out of their way to deny interest.
  2. He’s got it narrowed down to about 5 or 6 candidates.
  3. He’s okay with former 2016 candidates that fought him hard.
  4. He is still considering Christie even though he is heading the transition team.
  5. Trump said there is no need for another business person on the ticket.
  6. He wants a running mate who can help him pass legislation.
  7. He wants someone with deep political experience who can help him with the establishment.

Now let’s consider who fits this description and who we can rule out.

In:

  1. Newt Gingrich- Newt fits every description perfectly and has been a consistent and strong message bearer for Trump.
  2. Chris Christie- Just like Newt, Christie fits the mold pretty well.
  3. Jeff Sessions
  4. John Kasich
  5. Rick Perry
  6. Mary Fallin- Trump spoke very highly of her recently.
  7. Scott Walker
  8. Joni Ernst- She’ll only have 2 years experience in the Senate if chosen, but she seems pretty well liked with the party.
  9. Bobby Jindal
  10. Condi Rice
  11. Mike Huckabee
  12. Jeb Bush- fits the mold, but I don’t think they would work well together.

Out:

  1. Marco Rubio
  2. Nikki Haley
  3. Rick Scott
  4. Jan Brewer
  5. Sarah Palin
  6. Rand Paul
  7. Susana Martinez
  8. Ben Carson
  9. Carly Fiorina

Stay tuned for more!

Donald Trump VP Watch

Here’s the latest news in the race to be Donald Trump’s Vice President.

So Marco Rubio is still a firm no.

Former Arizona Governor Jan Brewer wants the spot.

It’s probably not Chris Christie, as Trump announced Christie will lead his transition team if elected.

Newt Gingrich wouldn’t say no.

KY Sen. Rand Paul’s name has come up a few times. Though nothing official has surfaced from the Senator or presumptive nominee Trump.

Trump is open to Ted Cruz as VP.

An article from MSNBC.com compiled the following reactions from Trump and potential candidates about the Vice President spot. You can read it here.

Ohio Gov. John Kasich is “unlikely” the Trump team says.

SC. Gov. Nikki Haley is also not under consideration.

Susana Martinez, the NM Gov., is not interested.

Gov. Scott of FL likes his current job and wouldn’t accept if offered.

Sen Joni Ernst of Iowa said she would accept the job.

Former TX Gov. Perry said he won’t say no

Ben Carson said no.

Sarah Palin, former AK Gov and VP nominee in 2008, said she doesn’t want to be a burden to his campaign by being VP.

WI Gov. Walker’s team gave a soft no.

And Trump spoke very highly of OK Gov. Mary Fallin recently.

 

What Should Trump Do for Vice President?

Cruz’s early VP pick potentially backed Trump into a corner. If Trump doesn’t win the nomination outright before the convention, he might have a harder time getting some of the more popular VP picks to sign on with his ticket heading to Cleveland. However, Trump’s path to victory before the convention, while still not a given, is looking more plausible as the days go by. If that is the case, Trump will probably have his pick of the litter.

What type of person is Trump looking for?

Donald Trump would go a long way by picking the right VP candidate. Trump would be smart to choose a running mate who builds a bridge to the party and the base, both who are reluctantly coming to grips with him right now. Trump should pick someone with proven political experience, preferably at the state level.

Basically Trump needs to convince me and those like me (who are not planning on voting for him right now) that he will surround himself with solid and proven conservatives who will help him make tough decisions.

The Rankings

Contenders

  • Susana Martinez– I know she isn’t the most conservative candidate on this list, but she would cover a lot of holes for Trump. She would go a long way to help Trump with women and Hispanics, two groups Trump needs to improve with. She is loved by the party and the base and it doesn’t hurt she’s from a swing state.
  • Nikki Haley– Haley would be a home run pick. She’s popular with the party and conservatives. She’s been great as governor of South Carolina. Once again, she’s no Cruz or Rand Paul on the conservative scale, but she’s conservative enough and would help Trump with women.
  • Scott Walker– He’s a proven conservative and effective leader. Walker is a solid pick. With his organization and Trump’s blue collar popularity, the Midwest would be in play for the GOP.
  • Newt Gingrich– The former Speaker of the House turned 2012 Tea Party candidate has towed the line better than anyone between the GOP factions. His best attribute is that he has a history of getting conservative things done in Congress. There have been plenty of indications that this has a strong possibility of happening.
  • Rubio/Kasich– These are unite the party guys. They aren’t huge conservatives but they each have likable qualities that inspire confidence. Having Florida or Ohio in the GOP fold is also desirable.
  • Ted Cruz– Cruz would bring over the hardcore conservatives who struggles with Donald. He’s not a party favorite, but he made a name and reputation for himself that’s hard to ignore.

Maybe

  • Kelly Ayotte
  • Jeff Sessions
  • Tim Scott
  • Rick Perry
  • Bill Haslam
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Mike Pence
  • Condi Rice

Nope

  • Rudy Giuliani
  • Sarah Palin
  • Mike Huckabee
  • Rick Scott
  • Jan Brewer
  • Scott Brown
  • Brian Sandoval
  • Chris Christie
  • Ben Carson
  • Lindsey Graham
  • Jeb Bush

Ted Cruz VP Rankings- April 27

With Cruz’s “major” announcement coming today, speculation is running wild that the Texas Senator might actually be naming a VP.

Cruz needs a hail Mary right now and this is about as close to that as it gets.

Ted Cruz will be looking for someone who will do 2 things for him. First, he wants someone who is going to create excitement. Cruz needs to change the narrative of this race. He wants to pick someone that will fill the news cycle with nothing but good VP coverage and give people in the remaining states someone to get excited over.

Second, he wants someone everyone in the party will want to rally around. The GOP is starting to come to grips with Trump because he seems inevitable, but they don’t like it. If he can pick someone who inspires hope within the party, it could go a long way in keeping hope alive.

Here’s our latest list:

At the Top:

  • Nikki Haley- This week I moved the South Carolina Governor to the top of the list. She would generate a lot of excitement and coverage. She’s also the most proven which would play very well with party establishment.
  • Scott Walker– If Gov. Walker wasn’t on the radar before, he is now. He delivered a huge win for Cruz in Wisconsin. Walker’s organization is a force to be reckoned with. He’s a proven conservative and effective leader. He wouldn’t generate as much excitement as a new face would, but he’s a solid and safe pick.
  • Carly Fiorina– She and Ted have been very chummy since her endorsement. Carly could fill the other side of the ticket with an outsider, a theme Cruz is desperately trying to make. She’s also been a relentless attack dog focused on Clinton. She’s starting to become old news, but still a good pick.
  • Susana Martinez– She’s a lower profile Nikki Haley. She’s got broad support from the party and she’s a popular Hispanic swing-state governor. She does take a Jeb-like approach to common core though; if you can get over that, she’s solid.
  • Marco Rubio– Rubio adds a lot as the VP. He has backers on both sides of the party and he’s still popular with the voters of Florida. Rubio is out of a job soon, despite his comments, he’d be more than happy to serve as Cruz’s VP.

In Consideration:

  • Tim Scott- The South Carolina Senator is a strong conservative. He would generate excitement and seems to have the acceptance of the party.
  • Brian Sandoval– Sandoval is the male version of Susana Martinez. He’s widely respected on both sides of the aisle. He does have a moderate streak in him. Hardcore conservatives might not be excited about this pick, but you better believe the establishment and maybe even some Democrats will.
  • John Kasich– Kasich’s delegates will be in high demand at the convention and Cruz would love to get his hands on them. Kasich is the popular Governor of Ohio. I’ll stop there.

Dark Horses:

  • Condi Rice
  • John Thune
  • Mia Love
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Bill Haslam

Could Donald Trump’s Vice President Pick Win You Over?

For those of you who are like me and are wildly skeptic of The Donald, I want to propose a question.

Is it possible you could end up voting for Donald Trump in November if he picked the right Vice President?

I’ve thought about this question for a long time. If Donald Trump picked one of my top politicians could I support him? I think my answer is: it’s possible, but I’m just not sure.

First, here’s why I decided to not vote for Trump.

The #NeverTrump crowd doesn’t like him because he’s unpredictable and an unreliable conservative, we don’t know who he really is. An effective VP that will sway the doubters will need to be the exact opposite. The person will need to inspire confidence in the future of the Republican Party. They need to have conservative credentials with the ability to get things done. They will need to bring a sense of certainty and stability to the ticket.

Let’s take a look at the people who could possibly sway the #NeverTrump crowd to change their minds:

  1. Ted Cruz- This would sway conservatives, but it wouldn’t do much for the Lindsey Grahams and John McCains of the Republican Party. I do think it would unite the party better than most options. I would be more likely, but not guaranteed, to vote for Trump in this scenario.
  2. Nikki Haley-In my opinion, this is Trump’s best option (IF he can convince her). She’s solid and would be someone the party could get excited for. I could be convinced more by her than Rubio/Kasich.
  3. Scott Walker- I’ve been a huge fan of the Wisconsin Governor for quite a while. He made conservatism work in Wisconsin! It would be very hard for me to ignore a ticket that Walker was a part of.
  4. Newt Gingrich- He’s no doubt a conservative and a political mastermind. I voted for him in 2012 as did many looking for a conservative in that race. Could he convince me? Maybe.
  5. Tim Scott- The South Carolina is an unwavering conservative. He’s largely unknown which may make the party type a little uncomfortable. But just like Walker, I would think twice before saying no to this guy.
  6. Marco Rubio/John Kasich- Almost all Republicans would be on board with these guys. The Romney Effect may come back into play where the most conservative part of the party will stay home. Would it sway me? Possibly, but maybe not.
  7. Susana Martinez- Martinez is not the conservative that Cruz or Walker is, but she would bring a lot to a Trump ticket. She would generate excitement. It could be a hard sell for some people who were really willing to look deep, but on the surface, it would be a solid pick to almost everyone. This would probably be a game-day decision for me. I like her, but would her policies win me over, that’s the question I would have to answer.
  8. Other- Mitch Daniels, Bill Haslam, Mia Love, Mike Lee, Louie Gohmert, Rand Paul, Carly Fiorina, etc. Take your pick. These are people who would cover some of Trump’s holes. Would they convince everyone? Nope, but it would make me reevaluate the situation.

Let’s take a look at some of the people Donald Trump should not pick. These are people who would never convince me and probably most of the #NeverTrump crowd to change our minds.

  • Rudy Giuliani- A New York Moderate/New York Moderate ticket makes me cringe. It would be fun to watch Democrats sweat over New York and the rest of the Northeast.
  • Chris Christie- People like Lindsey Graham and John McCain would support this pick. But not I said the conservative.
  • Ben Carson- Does anyone know who Ben Carson is anymore. It would not sway me at all if he were the VP pick. He’s more slippery now than Trump is.
  • Other- Mike Huckabee, Rick Santorum, Rick Scott, Joe Arpaio, Jeff Sessions – Yawn
  • Other- Condi Rice, Brian Sandoval, Kelly Ayotte – Not conservative enough

Am I missing someone on either list? Let me know what you think.

Ted Cruz’s VP Rankings 2.0

Senator Ted Cruz is picking up steam in the fight to be the GOP nominee. Cruz still trails Trump by more than 200 delegates, but the race is now all about keeping Trump from getting the needed delegates.

If Trump doesn’t get the magic number of delegates before the convention, it will be extremely difficult for him to get the nomination. If this is the case, Ted Cruz will most likely be the only candidate capable of rallying enough support to win the nomination.

Last week I wrote an article about how Cruz needed to name a solid VP now to secure the party’s blessing. I still think he will need to do it before the convention starts. Choosing a VP is a rallying point for the candidate and the party.

Ted Cruz will be looking for someone who will do 2 things for him. First, he wants someone who is going to cause excitement. He wants to pick someone that will fill the news cycle with nothing but good VP coverage. Second, he wants someone everyone in the party will want to rally around. There were plenty of people who weren’t thrilled with John McCain or Mitt Romney, but choosing up and coming GOP stars as running mates gave people something to get excited about.

Here’s our latest list:

At the Top:

  • Nikki Haley- This week I moved the South Carolina Governor to the top of the list. She would generate a lot of excitement and coverage. She’s also the most proven which would play very well with party establishment.
  • Susana Martinez– She’s a lower profile Nikki Haley. She’s got broad support from the party and she’s a popular Hispanic swing-state governor. She does take a Jeb-like approach to common core though; if you can get over that, she’s solid.
  • Brian Sandoval– Sandoval is the male version of Susana Martinez. He’s widely respected on both sides of the aisle. He does have a moderate streak in him. Hardcore conservatives might not be excited about this pick, but you better believe the establishment and maybe even some Democrats will.
  • Marco Rubio– Rubio adds a lot as the VP. He has backers on both sides of the party and he’s still popular with the voters of Florida. Rubio is out of a job soon, despite his comments, he’d be more than happy to serve as Cruz’s VP.
  • Tim Scott– The South Carolina Senator is a strong conservative. He would generate excitement and seems to have the acceptance of the party.

In Consideration:

  • Scott Walker– If Gov. Walker wasn’t on the radar before, he is now. He delivered a huge win for Cruz in Wisconsin. Walker’s organization is a force to be reckoned with. He’s a proven conservative and effective leader. He wouldn’t generate as much excitement as a new face would, but he’s a solid and safe pick.
  • Carly Fiorina– She and Ted have been very chummy since her endorsement. Carly could fill the other side of the ticket with an outsider, a theme Cruz is desperately trying to make. She’s also been a relentless attack dog focused on Clinton. She’s starting to become old news, but still a good pick
  • John Kasich– Kasich’s delegates will be in high demand at the convention and Cruz would love to get his hands on them. Kasich is the popular Governor of Ohio. I’ll stop there.

Dark Horses:

  • Condi Rice
  • John Thune
  • Mia Love
  • Mitch Daniels
  • Bill Haslam